What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Uganda

(xG) 1.00 - 1.17

Tunisia

Mathematical Predictions: Uganda vs Tunisia

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 63.17% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Uganda Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Uganda
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Tunisia Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Tunisia
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Uganda vs Tunisia

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

2027-03-24T19:00:00

TBA

In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Uganda scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Tunisia 2.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Uganda scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 0.00, whereas Tunisia scored 0.00 and conceded 0.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Uganda vs Tunisia match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.00 for Uganda and 1.17 for Tunisia. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 63.17%.

H2H - Uganda vs. Tunisia

24 Mar 27

Uganda

(HT -)

Tunisia

24 Sep 26

Tunisia

1 - 1

(HT 1-0)

Uganda

23 Dec 25

Tunisia

3 - 1

(HT 2-0)

Uganda

Team Form (Last 6)

Uganda

18 Nov @ Morocco 4-0

23 Dec @ Tunisia 3-1

27 Dec vs Tanzania 1-1

30 Dec vs Nigeria 1-3

24 Sep @ Tunisia 1-1

29 Sep vs Libya 1-0

Tunisia

06 Jun @ Belgium 5-0

15 Jun @ Sweden 5-1

21 Jun vs Japan 0-4

26 Jun vs Netherlands 1-3

24 Sep vs Uganda 1-1

28 Sep vs Botswana 2-2

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.